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Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Oct 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo
3 - 0
Athletico PR

Ribeiro (5'), Henrique (10'), Pereira (45+4')
De Arrascaeta (56'), Isla (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Nicolas (51'), Hernandez (90+4')

Preview: Flamengo vs. Athletico Paranaense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Flamengo's focus turns to the league this Sunday after reaching the Copa Libertadores final in midweek and they will go into the weekend in fourth position having accumulated 35 points in Campeonato Brasileiro.

Their opponents are Athletico Paranaense, who are five points worse off and as a result, they head into the weekend in ninth place.


Match preview

Flamengo's Bruno Henrique celebrates scoring their third goal with Filipe Luis and teammates on August 1, 2021© Reuters

Flamengo will be in a celebratory mood thanks to a 2-0 victory in midweek in the Copa Libertadores semi-final against Barcelona SC.

A brace from Bruno Henrique ensured Flamengo won 4-0 on aggregate to reach the final, where they will face fellow Brazilian side Palmeiras.

In the league, Sunday's hosts sit 11 points off top spot, but they have two games in hand, which gives them a chance of closing the gap to league leaders Atletico Mineiro.

Since replacing Rogerio Ceni as head coach, Renato Gaucho has guided his team to six league wins in 10 games and they have only suffered two defeats in the Campeonato Brasileiro in that period.

Although, they will aim to get back to winning ways on Sunday, having not won in their last two league outings courtesy of a 1-0 defeat to Gremio before they drew 1-1 with America Mineiro last weekend.

Athletico Paranaense's Pedro Rocha celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 1, 2021© Reuters

Athletico Paranese were also busy in midweek and like their opponents they will be in a joyful mood thanks to a 2-0 win against Penarol of Uruguay, which sealed their place in the final of the Copa Sudamericana.

Goals from Nikao and Pedro Rocha guided their side to a 4-1 aggregate victory, which means Furacao will face fellow Brazilian team - Bragantino - in the final.

Antonio Oliveira's side have won their last two league matches against Juventude and Gremio, which ended a seven-game winless run in the league.

In their last Campeonato Brasileiro fixture, two goals apiece for Rocha and Renato De Souza helped Oliveira's team to a 4-2 victory against Gremio.

As a result, Athletico Paranaense head into the weekend three points off a Copa Libertadores qualifier spot and five points off an automatic place for South America's elite club competition.

Flamengo Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Flamengo form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Athletico Paranaense Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Athletico Paranaense form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Flamengo are likely to be without Robert Piris and Thiago Maia due to injury concerns.

David Luiz will also miss the game due to injury after limping off in the 10th minute of the Copa Libertadores semi-final against Barcelona SC.

In that game, Luiz was replaced by Gustavo Henrique, and Henrique is likely to come into the starting lineup for Sunday.

Athletico Paranaense are still without Matheus Babi and Lucas Halter, who are both long-term absentees.

Oliveira may make a few changes to freshen up his side, which could see Lucas Fasson come back into the centre of defence.

Rocha and De Souza could also come in, which would allow Oliveira to rest David Terans and Guilherme Bissoli.

Flamengo possible starting lineup:
Alves; Isla, Caio, Henrique, Luis; Arao, Pereira, De Arrascaeta; Ribeiro, Henrique, Barbosa

Athletico Paranaense possible starting lineup:
Santos; Ze Ivaldo, Heleno, Fasson; Marcinho, Erick, Richard, Abner; Nikao, Rocha, De Souza


SM words green background

We say: Flamengo 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

This contest may take a while to get going with both sides playing important matches during the week, but when the encounter does spring into life, we think Flamengo will be too strong for their opponents and that they will get back to winning ways in the league.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:466376:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9370:
Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.33%) and 3-0 (10.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Flamengo vs Athletico PR

Flamengo
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Athletico Paranaense
14.3%
7
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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