Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 7.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.93%) and 3-0 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.48%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (3.98%).