Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-4 Estoril
Sunday, January 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
16
We said: Estrela Amadora 1-3 Braga
Braga head into this encounter on the back of four consecutive away victories in the top flight, leaving them with the second-best away record in the division. While Estrela have been solid at home, their recent loss to Estoril has exposed vulnerabilities, leaving them susceptible to the visitors, making a win for the Archbishops the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Braga |
24.62% ( 0.17) | 24.22% ( 0.02) | 51.16% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
