Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jan 19, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca1 - 1Monterrey
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tijuana 2-4 Toluca
Saturday, January 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, January 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-1 Puebla
Monday, January 13 at 1am in Liga MX
Monday, January 13 at 1am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Monterrey |
45.48% ( 0.6) | 24.63% ( 0.13) | 29.89% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
