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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg

Marseille
1 - 1
Strasbourg

Emegha (23'), Greenwood (68' pen.)
Lirola (71'), Brassier (90+5'), Vaz (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emegha (26'), Doue (28'), Lemarechal (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Lille (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 14 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Thaon 2-2 Strasbourg (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, January 15 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Marseille 3-1 Strasbourg

Home form has picked up after a dreadful start saw Marseille take just five points from their first five games at the Velodrome this season, and another success could be on the way. Strasbourg are in excellent form, but the teams they have beaten recently have not been on Marseille's level, and their 28-year wait for a win here is set to go on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
55.18% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 22.63% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 22.18% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.59% (0.022999999999996 0.02)43.41% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)65.8% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03)15.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.38% (0.067 0.07)44.61% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)33.46% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)70.09% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 55.18%
    Strasbourg 22.18%
    Draw 22.63%
MarseilleDrawStrasbourg
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 22.18%

How you voted: Marseille vs Strasbourg

Marseille
86.0%
Draw
8.8%
Strasbourg
5.3%
57
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Strasbourg
1-0
Marseille
Moreira (40')
Rosenior (7'), Doukoure (56'), Doue (68')

Rabiot (75')
Jan 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 18
Marseille
1-1
Strasbourg
Gigot (3')
Meite (34'), Nadir (84'), Gigot (90+6')
Sebas (90+2')
Senaya (77'), Doukoure (90+6')
Nov 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Strasbourg
1-1
Marseille
Emegha (6')
Bakwa (89')
Clauss (27')
Lodi (54'), Veretout (90+1')
Mar 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
2-2
Strasbourg
Mbemba (49'), Sanchez (76' pen.)
Aholou (88', 89')
Oct 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Strasbourg
2-2
Marseille
Mothiba (76'), Gameiro (90+2')
Dieng (8'), Kabore (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG21165058203853
2Marseille22144450262446
3Nice21107441261537
4MonacoMonaco2111463728937
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse217682324-127
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes214982432-821
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2253142050-3018
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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