Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 19, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Hellas Verona0 - 3Lazio
We said: Hellas Verona 0-2 Lazio
Verona concede an average of over two goals per game on home turf this term, so Lazio should score more than once and post their first win of the year. Even if they initially struggle to break through, the Biancocelesti have scored most goals via substitutes in Serie A this season - an impressive tally of 10 so far. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Lazio |
20.72% ( 0.02) | 23.59% ( 0.15) | 55.69% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.98% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
