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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
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Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
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NEC
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PSV
Waalwijk logo
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Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Ajax

Heerenveen
vs.
Ajax

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Quick Boys 3-2 Heerenveen
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

We say: Heerenveen 1-1 Ajax

With a number of key injuries and suspensions in defence, Heerenveen could be an easier nut to crack than usual at their Abe Lenstra fortress on Sunday. Ajax will be desperate to returning to winning ways following their KNVB Cup loss last time out, although we feel that De Godenzonen will be forced to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Heerenveen has a probability of 35.26% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Heerenveen win is 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.21%).

Result
HeerenveenDrawAjax
35.26% (0.677 0.68) 24.29% (-0.294 -0.29) 40.45% (-0.385 -0.38)
Both teams to score 60.14% (1.2 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51% (1.498 1.5)42.49% (-1.501 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (1.479 1.48)64.89% (-1.48 -1.48)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (1.08 1.08)23.76% (-1.081 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.1% (1.526 1.53)57.9% (-1.529 -1.53)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (0.462 0.46)21.12% (-0.463 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (0.712 0.71)53.96% (-0.714 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 35.26%
    Ajax 40.45%
    Draw 24.29%
HeerenveenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.255 -0.26)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 3% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.098 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.26%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.154 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.343 -0.34)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.8% (-0.417 -0.42)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.235 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.25% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 40.45%

Who will win Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Ajax?

Heerenveen
Draw
Ajax
Heerenveen
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Ajax
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Aug 11, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
Ajax
1-0
Heerenveen
Hlynsson (45')

Bochniewicz (16'), Braude (84')
Feb 11, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 21
Heerenveen
3-2
Ajax
Van Amersfoort (11', 46'), Sahraoui (38')
van Beek (49'), Kohlert (51'), Braude (65'), Bochniewicz (72')
Bochniewicz (51' og.), Akpom (79')
Nov 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ajax
4-1
Heerenveen
Bergwijn (25'), Brobbey (42'), Akpom (84', 90+2')
van den Boomen (60')
Brouwers (45+1')
van Amersfoort (40'), Olsson (81')
Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Heerenveen
2-4
Ajax
Kudus (10'), Alvarez (16'), Bergwijn (19'), Taylor (52')
Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247


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