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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Heerenveen has a probability of 35.26% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Heerenveen win is 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.21%).
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
35.26% ( 0.68) | 24.29% ( -0.29) | 40.45% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 60.14% ( 1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.51% ( 1.5) | 42.49% ( -1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.11% ( 1.48) | 64.89% ( -1.48) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.24% ( 1.08) | 23.76% ( -1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.1% ( 1.53) | 57.9% ( -1.53) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.88% ( 0.46) | 21.12% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.04% ( 0.71) | 53.96% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.09) Other @ 3% Total : 35.26% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |