Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
55.22% ( 0.31) | 25.42% ( -0.1) | 19.36% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 43.84% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.29% ( 0.09) | 57.71% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.54% ( 0.07) | 78.46% ( -0.07) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( 0.16) | 20.95% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( 0.26) | 53.69% ( -0.26) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.46% ( -0.2) | 44.54% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.43% ( -0.16) | 80.56% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 14.58% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.22% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |