Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
55.13% ( -0.09) | 25.25% ( 0.05) | 19.62% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.16% ( -0.11) | 56.84% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.23% ( -0.09) | 77.77% ( 0.09) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( -0.08) | 20.64% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.8% ( -0.13) | 53.2% ( 0.13) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.26% ( -0.01) | 43.74% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.09% ( -0.01) | 79.91% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 14.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 55.11% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |