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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 at 9pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Sevilla logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Sevilla


Sancet (72'), Alvarez (90'), Garcia (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ocampos (90+2' pen.)
Lamela (37'), Acuna (45'), Ocampos (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla

Both sides enter Thursday's showdown in strong form, so we expect Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla to dish up a closely-fought battle as they look to continue their respective hot streaks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
55.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 25.25% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 19.62% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (-0.11 -0.11)56.84% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (-0.087 -0.09)77.77% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)20.64% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (-0.132 -0.13)53.2% (0.135 0.13)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.26% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)43.74% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)79.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.11%
    Sevilla 19.62%
    Draw 25.24%
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 14.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.11%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.62%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao
37.3%
Draw
26.7%
Sevilla
36.0%
75
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 8
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Torres (4')
Isco (38')
Vesga (73')
May 22, 2022 9pm
gameweek 38
Sevilla
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
gameweek 17
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla186482027-722
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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