Barcelona

2 - 0

Real Sociedad

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.