Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
57.88% ( 0.02) | 24.72% ( -0.01) | 17.4% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 42.56% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.33% ( 0.01) | 57.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.57% ( 0.01) | 78.43% ( -0.01) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( 0.01) | 19.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.01% ( 0.02) | 51.98% ( -0.02) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.12% ( -0.01) | 46.88% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.6% ( -0.01) | 82.39% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 15.05% 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 57.87% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |