Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
61.68% ( -0.73) | 21.71% ( 0.42) | 16.61% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( -1.24) | 47.41% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( -1.16) | 69.62% ( 1.15) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% ( -0.64) | 14.84% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.84% ( -1.22) | 43.16% ( 1.22) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.23% ( -0.35) | 41.77% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.77% ( -0.3) | 78.23% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.4% Total : 61.67% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.7% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |