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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaídos
Almeria

Celta Vigo
2 - 2
Almeria

Seferovic (10'), Perez (42')
Perez (45'), Aspas (82'), Veiga (83')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Babic (7'), Puigmal (32')
Puigmal (31'), Martinez (62'), Samu (74'), Baptistao (82'), Suarez Charris (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 1-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-0 Almeria

Almeria's away record this season is extremely poor, so it is difficult to back them on their travels. Celta's recent form has been excellent, meanwhile, and we are expecting the Sky Blues to pick up another three points, but it might be tight in terms of the scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
61.68% (-0.733 -0.73) 21.71% (0.42 0.42) 16.61% (0.312 0.31)
Both teams to score 49.59% (-0.667 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (-1.235 -1.24)47.41% (1.234 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (-1.155 -1.16)69.62% (1.153 1.15)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.636 -0.64)14.84% (0.633 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-1.222 -1.22)43.16% (1.22 1.22)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.23% (-0.347 -0.35)41.77% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (-0.302 -0.3)78.23% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 61.67%
    Almeria 16.61%
    Draw 21.7%
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 11.28% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.17% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 61.67%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.313 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 21.7%
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.225 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.61%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Almeria

Celta Vigo
84.4%
Draw
6.3%
Almeria
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Almeria
3-1
Celta Vigo
Lazaro (52'), De la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
Embarba (22')
Veiga (25')
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Round Four
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Round Four
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
May 4, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Celta Vigo
Bifouma (47'), Zongo (68')
Bifouma (50'), Dos Santos (59'), Partey (92')
Dos Santos (74')
Nolito (17'), Mina (39')
Mallo (51'), Larrivey (54'), Mina (68')
Cabral (54')
Dec 19, 2014 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
0-1
Almeria

Fernandez (34'), Charles (45'), Mina (50'), Fontas (90'), Orellana (90')
Hemed (18')
Navarro (38'), Hemed (43'), Julian (88'), Dubarbier (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
13Sevilla186482027-722
14Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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