Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Girona in this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
48.58% ( 3.25) | 24.01% ( 0.27) | 27.4% ( -3.52) |
Both teams to score 57.18% ( -3.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.34% ( -3.32) | 44.66% ( 3.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.97% ( -3.29) | 67.03% ( 3.29) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.5% ( 0) | 18.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.29% ( 0) | 49.71% ( -0) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.16% ( -4.08) | 29.84% ( 4.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.08% ( -5.23) | 65.92% ( 5.23) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 1.27) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 1.08) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.61) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.49) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.75) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.59) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.6) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.36) Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
11 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
12 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |