MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 17:08:23| >> :600:312374:312374:
Athletic Bilbao logo
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
AZ Alkmaar

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
AZ

Williams (72'), Sancet (86')
Ruiz de Galarreta (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maikuma (42'), van Bommel (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Athletic Bilbao and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Sunday, September 29 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 AZ Alkmaar

Athletic rarely slip up at home, and after an impressive result against Roma, they could be very competitive in the Europa League this season. AZ made an excellent start claiming three points on home soil last midweek, but Elfsborg gave them plenty of trouble and they were beaten by Utrecht at the weekend, making them big underdogs here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAZ Alkmaar
30.34% (-0.548 -0.55) 26.16% (-0.32 -0.32) 43.49% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
Both teams to score 52.11% (0.737 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (1.067 1.07)52.18% (-1.073 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.1% (0.912 0.91)73.89% (-0.92 -0.92)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (0.158 0.16)31.57% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (0.184 0.18)67.97% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.898 0.9)23.84% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (1.275 1.28)58.02% (-1.281 -1.28)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 30.34%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.49%
    Draw 26.16%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.34%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.53% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.92% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.079 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.26% (0.172 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.109 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 43.49%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs AZ

Athletic Bilbao
82.6%
Draw
9.3%
AZ Alkmaar
8.1%
161
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2015 8.05pm
Group Stage
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
AZ
Sola (43'), Jose (47' pen.)
Merino (77')
Van Overeem (26'), Janssen (88')
Haye (55'), Gouweleeuw (63')
Oct 1, 2015 6pm
Group Stage
AZ
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Henriksen (55'), Boveda (65' og.)
Johansson (47'), Coutinho (90')
Aduriz (75')
Gurpegi (50'), Iturraspe (53'), Garcia (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!