Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Valencia |
63.97% | 22.15% | 13.88% |
Both teams to score 42.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% | 53.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.59% | 75.41% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.7% | 16.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.13% | 45.87% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.46% | 49.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.67% | 84.33% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 14.64% 2-0 @ 13.28% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.64% 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.6% Total : 63.96% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 5.67% 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.6% Total : 13.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |