Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
61.02% | 23.85% | 15.12% |
Both teams to score 40.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.1% | 57.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% | 78.6% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.23% | 18.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.83% | 50.16% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.93% | 50.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.29% | 84.71% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 15.72% 2-0 @ 13.15% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 5.07% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.76% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.67% Total : 61.02% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.44% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.5% 1-2 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 2.25% Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
15 | Espanyol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 28 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |