Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
61.02% | 23.85% | 15.12% |
Both teams to score 40.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.1% | 57.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% | 78.6% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.23% | 18.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.83% | 50.16% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.93% | 50.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.29% | 84.71% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 15.72% 2-0 @ 13.15% 2-1 @ 9.1% 3-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 5.07% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-1 @ 2.12% 3-2 @ 1.76% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.67% Total : 61.02% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.44% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.5% 1-2 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 2.25% Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |