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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Real Valladolid logo

Villarreal
1 - 2
Valladolid

Capoue (74')
Pedraza (30')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Amallah (2'), El Yamiq (34')
Amallah (41'), Monchu (56'), Masip (69'), Mesa (87'), Perez (90+1'), Kenedy (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Villarreal 2-0 Real Valladolid

Valladolid can ill-afford to drop more points if they wish to avoid being dragged into the relegation zone, but considering the strong run of form that Villarreal possess, we expect the hosts to secure a routine victory on Saturday to boost their top-four hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawReal Valladolid
65.86% (0.142 0.14) 19.65% (-0.07 -0.07) 14.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.32% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.46% (0.164 0.16)42.54% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.06% (0.161 0.16)64.94% (-0.16 -0.16)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.92% (0.088999999999999 0.09)12.07% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.39% (0.184 0.18)37.6% (-0.184 -0.18)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.36%41.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88%78.12%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 65.85%
    Real Valladolid 14.48%
    Draw 19.65%
VillarrealDrawReal Valladolid
2-0 @ 11.23%
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.18% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.67% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 65.85%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 14.48%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valladolid

Villarreal
89.6%
Draw
2.1%
Real Valladolid
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 6pm
May 13, 2021 6pm
Valladolid
0-2
Villarreal

El Yamiq (30'), Kiko (76'), Guardiola (88')
Moreno (68'), Capoue (90+1')
Capoue (88')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
Villarreal
2-0
Valladolid
Chukwueze (21'), Torres (37')
Gaspar (90+1')

Fernandez (34'), Alcaraz (52'), Garcia Carnero (71')
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Valladolid
1-1
Villarreal
Alcaraz (15')
Moyano (58'), Toni (58'), Garcia (78')
Moreno (54')
Albiol (41'), Iborra (60'), Pena (70')
Sep 21, 2019 12pm
Villarreal
2-0
Valladolid
Cazorla (77' pen.), Ontiveros (89')
Quintilla (40'), Iborra (45')

Barba (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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