Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Real Valladolid |
65.86% ( 0.14) | 19.65% ( -0.07) | 14.48% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.46% ( 0.16) | 42.54% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.06% ( 0.16) | 64.94% ( -0.16) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.92% ( 0.09) | 12.07% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.39% ( 0.18) | 37.6% ( -0.18) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.36% | 41.63% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.88% | 78.12% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Real Valladolid |
2-0 @ 11.23% 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 65.85% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) Other @ 1% Total : 19.65% | 0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |