La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Valladolid3 - 3Mallorca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 6-0 Valladolid
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Osasuna
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Mallorca
There is not an awful lot between these two teams in terms of quality, so we are expecting a close match on Sunday. Both are in need of all three points to boost their survival battles, but we are finding it difficult to separate them on this occasion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Mallorca |
45.77% ( -0.02) | 27.4% ( 0.02) | 26.82% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.4% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
