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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Stevenage

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Stevenage

Brannagan (59' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Long (32' og.)
Vancooten (10'), Guinness-Walker (71'), Smith (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Oxford United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Stevenage

Although Oxford experienced a disappointing result on Tuesday, we think that they will bounce back to claim all three points in Friday's clash against a Stevenage side who could be downbeat following a run of poor form and Evans's recent departure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage
43.98%24.66%31.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64%45.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31%67.69% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29%20.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69%53.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05%62.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 43.98%
    Stevenage 31.36%
    Draw 24.66%
Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.11%
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Stevenage

Oxford United
81.6%
Draw
8.2%
Stevenage
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Stevenage
1-3
Oxford Utd
Reid (15')
Butler (65')
Leigh (23', 55'), Moore (82')
Moore (45+4'), Beadle (90+5')
Oct 5, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Stevenage
Agyei (11')
Henry (62')
Reid (75'), Norris (90')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
-
Stevenage
2-6
Oxford Utd
Beautyman (19'), Samuel (82')
Conlon (49')
Henry (30'), Hall (43', 52'), Obika (50'), Rothwell (55'), Payne (64')
Xemi (53')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
Oct 31, 2015 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Oxford Utd
Whelpdale (17')
McCombe (27'), Tonge (68')
Taylor (13', 72'), Serecombe (27' pen.), MacDonald (66'), Roofe (75')
MacDonald (44'), Dunkley (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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