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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Peterborough United

Oxford Utd
5 - 0
Peterborough

Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Katongo (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-1 Peterborough United

With both sides heading into this clash following handsome victories, we are expecting a hard-fought battle between Oxford and Peterborough as they attempt to keep their promotion aims on track. Posh were able to cruise to the win over Port Vale during the week, meaning that Ferguson's troops should have enough left in the tank to collect a point at the Kassam on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
29.82% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 22.65% (0.073 0.07) 47.53% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 63.85% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.33% (-0.306 -0.31)36.67% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.17% (-0.334 -0.33)58.82% (0.332 0.33)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)24.14% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.139 -0.14)58.44% (0.137 0.14)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16% (-0.175 -0.17)15.84% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.97% (-0.323 -0.32)45.03% (0.322 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 29.82%
    Peterborough United 47.53%
    Draw 22.65%
Oxford UnitedDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.82%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.49% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.03% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 47.53%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Peterborough

Oxford United
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Peterborough United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Oxford Utd
0-0
Peterborough
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
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