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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Charlton

Helm (24'), Brayford (47')
Bennett (5'), Helm (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomas (35'), May (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Charlton Athletic

There is little doubt that Charlton possess more individual talent, particularly in offensive areas, but their confidence levels are likely to be low having lost four of their last five league games. Burton are not in great form themselves, but they have remained consistent at home and are fighting to impress their new manager. As such, we expect the hosts to avoid defeat as a worst case scenario, but Charlton should have enough firepower to get something out of the game. A score draw feels the likeliest outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
33.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 41.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.8% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)45.39% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)67.73% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)25.97% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)60.99% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)21.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.052 -0.05)55.2% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 33.78%
    Charlton Athletic 41.38%
    Draw 24.85%
Burton AlbionDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.78%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.85%
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.38%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Charlton

Burton Albion
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Charlton Athletic
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Charlton
1-1
Burton Albion
Jones (19')
Dobson (63'), Jones (78')
Sweeney (90+1')
Carayol (67'), Kamwa (87')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Charlton
3-2
Burton Albion
Rak-Sakyi (7', 17'), Bonne (50')
Hughes (45+2'), Walker (76')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Burton Albion
3-3
Charlton
Oshilaja (38'), Hamer (45'), Adeboyejo (58')
Kirk (26', 36'), Rak-Sakyi (75')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Charlton
2-0
Burton Albion
Washington (12'), Taylor (42')

Hamer (9'), Niasse (32'), Oshilaja (47'), Shaughnessy (55'), Gilligan (65'), Chapman (79')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Burton Albion
0-1
Charlton

Hemmings (41')
Oshilaja (18')
Purrington (20')
Lee (28'), Jaiyesimi (31'), Famewo (45+4'), Arter (46')
Stockley (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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