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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Charlton Athletic

Port Vale
3 - 3
Charlton

Chislett (45' pen.), Ikpeazu (63'), Massey (90+2')
Crosby (33'), Smith (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (27'), Kanu (59'), Campbell (83')
Jones (32'), Dobson (74'), Watson (87'), Thomas (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Oxford Utd
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Charlton Athletic

There is only goal difference to split these teams right now in the league, therefore this promises to be a closely-contested match. With each team heading into the game on the back of a defeat a cautious approach could be shown which might lead to them sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
39.02% (-0.744 -0.74) 24.83% (0.243 0.24) 36.15% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-0.814 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.08% (-1.083 -1.08)44.92% (1.083 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (-1.05 -1.05)67.27% (1.051 1.05)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.84699999999999 -0.85)22.88% (0.846 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-1.266 -1.27)56.62% (1.266 1.27)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.223 -0.22)24.39% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (-0.317 -0.32)58.8% (0.317 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 39.02%
    Charlton Athletic 36.15%
    Draw 24.83%
Port ValeDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.177 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.256 0.26)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.071 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.312 0.31)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.185 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Charlton

Port Vale
40.8%
Draw
36.7%
Charlton Athletic
22.4%
49
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Charlton
2-3
Port Vale
May (10' pen.), Kanu (71')
May (32'), Maynard-Brewer (34'), Anderson (38'), Hector (90+7')
Wilson (55'), Chislett (56'), Ojo (87')
Ripley (9'), Chislett (50'), Arblaster (76')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Charlton
3-2
Port Vale
Campbell (14'), Rak-Sakyi (57'), Leaburn (77')
Plant (62'), Taylor (90+7' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport30158746291753
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
6Charlton AthleticCharlton29138838281047
7Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
8Reading29136104341245
9Leyton Orient281351040251544
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
12Stevenage28117102727040
13Blackpool2991284241139
14Mansfield TownMansfield28114133535037
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham29107123435-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
21Burton Albion30511143145-1426
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2975173049-1926
23Crawley TownCrawley2866163052-2224
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2958163051-2123


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