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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Cambridge
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Bennett (36'), Cousins (88'), Thomas (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (65')
Clarke (37'), Taylor (54'), Pett (70'), Nuttall (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Wycombe
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Cheltenham Town

Both teams should be fresh having had their scheduled matches on Tuesday postponed due to waterlogged pitches, and it should be a fierce battle given that both sides are fighting against relegation. However, Cambridge are in better form and arguably have a little more individual quality to call upon, meaning that we expect them to edge a tight victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
49.6% (-4.469 -4.47) 25.88% (1.517 1.52) 24.52% (2.954 2.95)
Both teams to score 48.75% (-1.067 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.48% (-3.114 -3.11)54.52% (3.117 3.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.13% (-2.653 -2.65)75.87% (2.656 2.66)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (-3.077 -3.08)22.01% (3.08 3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-4.884 -4.88)55.33% (4.887 4.89)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (1.059 1.06)37.49% (-1.056 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (1.024 1.02)74.27% (-1.019 -1.02)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 49.6%
    Cheltenham Town 24.52%
    Draw 25.88%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 9.45% (-0.648 -0.65)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.838 -0.84)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.666 -0.67)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.529 -0.53)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.454 -0.45)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 49.6%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.68 0.68)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.954 0.95)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.1% (1.14 1.14)
1-2 @ 6.01% (0.493 0.49)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.656 0.66)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.212 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.245 0.25)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Cheltenham

Cambridge United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cheltenham Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cheltenham
1-0
Cambridge
Sercombe (5')
Goodwin (64'), Bonds (66'), Freestone (85'), Williams (90+2')

Bennett (54')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Cambridge
1-2
Cheltenham
Ironside (61' pen.)
Bonds (57'), Olayinka (79')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Cheltenham
2-1
Cambridge
N'Lundulu (59'), May (83')
May (28')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Cambridge
2-2
Cheltenham
Smith (22', 50')
Simper (40'), O'Neil (45+1')
May (23', 90+1')
Long (45+1'), Boyle (53'), Raglan (64'), May (72')
Boyle (82')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cheltenham
0-5
Cambridge

Freestone (28'), Wright (31')
Smith (37'), Pollock (52' og.), Ironside (63', 73', 88')
Smith (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough442581186563083
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Leyton Orient451711175054-462
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe441613155854461
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge441210223860-2246
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham44118253863-2541
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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