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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cambridge United

Exeter
0 - 0
Cambridge


Purrington (39'), Niskanen (45+1')
FT

Andrew (27'), Taylor (31'), Digby (50'), Kachunga (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Cambridge United

Cambridge have been dismal on the road so far this season, but they were minutes away from claiming a draw against Oxford having drawn away to Charlton Athletic in Harris' first away match in charge. Exeter have improved at home lately, but remain in a difficult position in the table. As such, we can envisage Cambridge finally ending their winless streak on their travels on Saturday, and putting a sizeable gap between themselves and the relegation zone in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
51.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.65% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 23.84% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (0.12 0.12)50.27% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.108 0.11)72.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (0.050000000000011 0.05)19.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.39% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (0.085999999999999 0.09)35.75% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.088000000000001 0.09)72.52% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 51.5%
    Cambridge United 23.84%
    Draw 24.65%
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.84%

How you voted: Exeter vs Cambridge

Exeter City
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Cambridge United
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Cambridge
2-0
Exeter
Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cambridge
1-4
Exeter
Ironside (55')
Iredale (12'), Ironside (41'), Knoyle (50'), Digby (90')
Bowman (3'), Sparkes (15'), Collins (67'), Jay (80')
Bowman (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
22Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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