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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
58.83% (![]() | 24.16% (![]() | 17.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.79% (![]() | 56.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.74% (![]() | 77.26% (![]() |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.05% (![]() | 18.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.53% (![]() | 50.46% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.5% (![]() | 46.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.89% (![]() | 82.1% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 14.65% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.83% Total : 58.81% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.75% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.38% Total : 17.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 79 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 62 |
5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 60 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 58 |
8 | Reading | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 55 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 53 |
10 | Barnsley | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Blackpool | 35 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 48 |
12 | Stevenage | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 46 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 43 |
16 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 41 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 41 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 40 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 39 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
21 | Burton Albion | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 33 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 29 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |