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Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Exeter City

Charlton
3 - 0
Exeter

MacDonald (20' og.), Campbell (68'), Leaburn (84')
Anderson (69'), Small (72'), Gillesphey (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Niskanen (19'), Mitchell (51'), Colwill (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Exeter
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-0 Exeter City

Charlton may have lost last time out, but their form prior had been excellent, and they will be looking to get back to winning ways this weekend. Given that the Addicks have the best defensive record outside of the top six, the Grecians may struggle to break them down, and Jones's side could keep a clean sheet alongside earning all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
58.83% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.16% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 43.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)56.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)77.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)18.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)50.46% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)46.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)82.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 58.81%
    Exeter City 17.01%
    Draw 24.15%
Charlton AthleticDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 14.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.18%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 58.81%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 8.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 4.3% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 17.01%

How you voted: Charlton vs Exeter

Charlton Athletic
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Exeter City
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Exeter
1-0
Charlton
Crama (59')
Woods (22'), Aitchison (73'), Niskanen (90+2')

Gillesphey (39')
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Exeter
1-1
Charlton
Purrington (6')
Woods (78')
Diabate (87' og.)
Thomas (37')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Charlton
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (45'), May (65', 86'), Leaburn (79')
Tedic (45+3')
Scott (23')
Aimson (66')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Exeter
1-2
Charlton
Mitchell (31')
Rak-Sakyi (8'), Taylor (18')
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Charlton
4-2
Exeter
Leaburn (20'), Hartridge (24' og.), Aneke (84'), Payne (90+1')
Stansfield (37'), Nombe (90+5' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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