League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby4 - 0Accrington
Barkhuizen (7', 46'), Hourihane (16'), McGoldrick (45+2' pen.)
Smith (11'), Sibley (29'), Forsyth (62')
Osula (79')
Smith (11'), Sibley (29'), Forsyth (62')
Osula (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cambridge
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League One
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Derby County 2-0 Accrington Stanley
Derby have proven to be a tough team to beat, and after winning their last two home matches, we think that they will continue their impressive home form by recording a victory over an Accrington side who have won only one of their last 11 league games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
61.03% ( 0.13) | 21.6% ( -0.05) | 17.37% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.47% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
