League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby1 - 0Fleetwood
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Fleetwood Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
55.81% ( -0.14) | 23.5% ( 0.01) | 20.68% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
