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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Reading logo

Exeter
1 - 2
Reading

Niskanen (58')
Woods (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wareham (1'), Craig (36')
Mbengue (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Reading

While Reading have been the dominant side in this fixture over the years, their away record this season has been very poor, while Exeter have been in sensational form and are gunning for a fifth straight home win. We are expecting an entertaining matchup here but fancy they hosts to edge the result in a close contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawReading
49.7% (0.842 0.84) 24.37% (-0.12 -0.12) 25.93% (-0.725 -0.72)
Both teams to score 54.71% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)47.33% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)69.55% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.327 0.33)19.08% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (0.544 0.54)50.69% (-0.548 -0.55)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.59299999999999 -0.59)32.38% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (-0.671 -0.67)68.9% (0.667 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 49.7%
    Reading 25.93%
    Draw 24.37%
Exeter CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Exeter vs Reading

Exeter City
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Reading
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Reading
3-2
Exeter
Knibbs (9'), Hartridge (45+2' og.), Azeez (77')
Craig (42'), Dorsett (81')
Jules (18'), Rankine (68')
Sep 19, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
0-9
Reading

Stanford Neubronner Daniels (49')
McIntyre (3'), Jules (32' og.), Mukairu (56', 60'), Ballard (67', 90+6'), Elliott (79'), Harris (85'), Vickers (90')
McIntyre (47')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
2-1
Reading
Aimson (34'), Cole (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Jules (44'), Cole (90+3')
Knibbs (45+3')
Azeez (24'), Mbengue (36'), Carson (56'), Abby (89')
Jul 15, 2014 9.20pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
0-1
Reading
Edwards (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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