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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
29.2% (![]() | 24.95% (![]() | 45.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.35% (![]() | 47.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% (![]() | 69.85% (![]() |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.92% (![]() | 30.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.79% (![]() | 66.21% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% (![]() | 20.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.5% (![]() | 53.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 7.53% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.09% 2-0 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.2% | 1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.83% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 46 | 19 | 27 | 63 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 59 |
3 | Wrexham | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 53 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 47 |
8 | Reading | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 44 |
10 | Barnsley | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 43 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 40 |
12 | Stevenage | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 40 |
13 | Blackpool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 37 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 34 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 33 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 32 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 31 |
20 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 30 |
21 | Burton Albion | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 26 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 26 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 24 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 23 |
> League One Full Table |