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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Stevenage
2 - 3
Bristol Rovers

FT(HT: 2-1)
Thomas (29'), Martin (62'), Evans (67')
Evans (21'), Taylor (22'), Conteh (86')
Conteh (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Stevenage
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Bristol Rovers

The sides boast similar attacking records heading into this one, but Stevenage have had the upper hand defensively, and we fancy the home team to emerge victorious come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers
52.24% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 24.32% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 23.43% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.26% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)49.33% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)71.38% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (0.02000000000001 0.02)18.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (0.029000000000003 0.03)50.31% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)35.6% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)72.37% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 52.23%
    Bristol Rovers 23.43%
    Draw 24.32%
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.43%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Bristol Rovers

Stevenage
60.0%
Draw
13.3%
Bristol Rovers
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Stevenage
Martin (83')
Finley (37'), Evans (46'), Collins (57'), Crama (84'), Taylor (88'), Gibbons (90+2')
Reid (40')
Thompson (33'), Evans (34'), Freeman (45+2'), Wildin (61'), Burns (73')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stevenage
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Bostwick (25')
Finley (36'), Anderson (50'), Anderson (54'), Collins (74')
Coutts (21'), Finley (67'), Anderson (90')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Stevenage

Harries (50')
Lines (88'), Norris (90+6')
Vancooten (52')
Jan 8, 2020 7.45pm
Round of 16
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Stevenage

Upson (74'), Craig (90')
Upson (87')
Mackail-Smith (17')
Nugent (24'), Kennedy (30'), Denton (45'), Parrett (58'), Vancooten (68')
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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