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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol Rovers
3 - 1
Oxford Utd

Martin (16'), Thomas (22'), Vale (77')
Wilson (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Harris (58')
Stevens (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Oxford United

Bristol Rovers are enduring a wretched run of form but have the opportunity to put things right quickly this weekend, although the visit of Oxford will be a tough assignment. The U's need a win to keep the playoff-chasing pack at arm's length, and we feel that Des Buckingham's men will be able to secure three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawOxford United
40.15% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 35.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 59.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)43.73% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.0030000000000001 0)55% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68%24.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)58.69%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 40.15%
    Oxford United 35.3%
    Draw 24.55%
Bristol RoversDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.15%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.3%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Oxford Utd

Bristol Rovers
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Oxford United
52.4%
21
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Oxford Utd
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Bodin (13'), Long (81')
Brannagan (15'), Moore (46'), Smyth (90')
Smyth (90+5'), Mills (90+6')
Collins (89')
Barton (16'), Martin (48'), Brown (57'), Finley (78')
Brown (63')
Feb 25, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 34
Oxford Utd
0-3
Bristol Rovers
Sinclair (22' pen.), Collins (28'), Hoole (75')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Oxford Utd
Marquis (34')
Saunders (65'), Grant (90+2')

Seddon (29'), Moore (40'), Brannagan (90+3')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
First Round Replays
Bristol Rovers
4-3
Oxford Utd
Finley (48'), Spence (110', 118'), Collins (115')
Evans (50'), Spence (107')
Taylor (57' pen.), Bodin (91'), Seddon (93')
Kane (4'), Bodin (38')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (11'), McGuane (51')
Taylor (32')
Finley (45+2'), Evans (87' pen.)
Finley (33'), Coutts (45')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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