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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 51.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
51.19% ( -0.01) | 25.15% ( 0.01) | 23.65% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.98% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.55% ( -0.06) | 52.45% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.87% ( -0.05) | 74.12% ( 0.05) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% ( -0.03) | 20.49% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.02% ( -0.05) | 52.97% ( 0.04) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.87% ( -0.03) | 37.13% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.08% ( -0.04) | 73.92% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 51.19% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |