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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Doncaster Rovers

Swindon
1 - 2
Doncaster

Smith (75')
Clarke (28'), Butterworth (38'), Freckleton (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olowu (58'), Ironside (90+4' pen.)
Sharp (51'), Kelly (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Swindon
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
36.55% (0.383 0.38) 24.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 38.79% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)
Both teams to score 59% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)44.04% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)66.42% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (0.163 0.16)23.77% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (0.237 0.24)57.92% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)22.6% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.365 -0.37)56.21% (0.362 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 36.55%
    Doncaster Rovers 38.79%
    Draw 24.64%
Swindon TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.55%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.79%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Swindon
1-2
Doncaster
Glatzel (46')
Brewitt (12'), McEachran (30'), Devoy (44')
Biamou (10'), Adelakun (26')
Senior (50'), Lo-Tutala (79'), Olowu (84')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Doncaster
0-0
Swindon
Ironside (35'), McCann (35'), Westbrooke (39'), Senior (62'), Lawlor (69')
Rowe (45')
Khan (34'), Hutton (37'), Brewitt (67'), Austin (73')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swindon
0-2
Doncaster
Molyneux (71', 73')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Swindon
1-2
Doncaster
Hope (73')
Conroy (64'), Thompson (66'), Curran (76')
Okenabirhie (5', 45+1')
Okenabirhie (33'), Simoes (52'), Butler (71'), James (85'), Greaves (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall30186656332360
2Notts County30158747291853
3Bradford CityBradford30158740281253
4AFC Wimbledon29157742202252
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
6Port Vale30141063932752
7Salford City3013983829948
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe31121273631548
9Grimsby Town30143134246-445
10Chesterfield29119948341442
11Colchester UnitedColchester2991373530540
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood29101093935440
13Bromley3091294040039
14Newport CountyNewport30116134147-639
15MK Dons30115144343038
16Swindon TownSwindon31911114647-138
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham29108113741-438
18BarrowBarrow30107133233-137
19Gillingham2996142633-733
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2979133446-1230
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3186172542-1730
22Tranmere RoversTranmere3069152148-2727
23Morecambe3065192748-2123
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3056192349-2621


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