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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Doncaster Rovers

Swindon
1 - 2
Doncaster

Smith (75')
Clarke (28'), Butterworth (38'), Freckleton (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olowu (58'), Ironside (90+4' pen.)
Sharp (51'), Kelly (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Swindon
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
36.55% (0.383 0.38) 24.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 38.79% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)
Both teams to score 59% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)44.04% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)66.42% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (0.163 0.16)23.77% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (0.237 0.24)57.92% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)22.6% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.365 -0.37)56.21% (0.362 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 36.55%
    Doncaster Rovers 38.79%
    Draw 24.64%
Swindon TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 36.55%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.64%
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.79%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Swindon
1-2
Doncaster
Glatzel (46')
Brewitt (12'), McEachran (30'), Devoy (44')
Biamou (10'), Adelakun (26')
Senior (50'), Lo-Tutala (79'), Olowu (84')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Doncaster
0-0
Swindon
Ironside (35'), McCann (35'), Westbrooke (39'), Senior (62'), Lawlor (69')
Rowe (45')
Khan (34'), Hutton (37'), Brewitt (67'), Austin (73')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Swindon
0-2
Doncaster
Molyneux (71', 73')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Swindon
1-2
Doncaster
Hope (73')
Conroy (64'), Thompson (66'), Curran (76')
Okenabirhie (5', 45+1')
Okenabirhie (33'), Simoes (52'), Butler (71'), James (85'), Greaves (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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