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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
44.79% ( -0.31) | 26.18% ( 0.09) | 29.03% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 51.34% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.15% ( -0.24) | 52.84% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.54% ( -0.2) | 74.46% ( 0.2) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( -0.25) | 23.51% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% ( -0.36) | 57.54% ( 0.36) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( 0.05) | 32.88% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.55% ( 0.05) | 69.45% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.79% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
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