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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Swindon Town

Crawley
2 - 0
Swindon

Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')
Lynch (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reed (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Swindon Town

 In a match that could hold significance at both ends of the table, we expect an open affair between two sides with a point to prove this weekend. Crawley will put in an improved display on recent showings, however, it will not be enough to prevent Swindon from claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
30.74% (-0.525 -0.52) 25.3% (0.149 0.15) 43.96% (0.374 0.37)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (-0.867 -0.87)48.41% (0.866 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (-0.797 -0.8)70.55% (0.79700000000001 0.8)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.78500000000001 -0.79)29.38% (0.784 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.973 -0.97)65.37% (0.97199999999999 0.97)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (-0.19399999999999 -0.19)21.99% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (-0.293 -0.29)55.3% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 30.74%
    Swindon Town 43.96%
    Draw 25.29%
Crawley TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 7.92% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 4.85% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.46% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.41% (0.178 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.96%

How you voted: Crawley vs Swindon

Crawley Town
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
Swindon Town
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Swindon
P-P
Crawley
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Crawley
0-4
Swindon

Tunnicliffe (47'), Dallison (58'), Grego-Cox (69'), Allarakhia (81')
Doyle (5', 44', 61'), Yates (87')
Grant (66')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Crawley
Morais (45')
Sesay (40'), Camara (42'), McNerney (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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