MX23RW : Monday, September 16 19:02:37| >> :120:23277:23277:
Plymouth Argyle
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Cheltenham Town

Plymouth
3 - 0
Cheltenham

Waine (62'), Hardie (81'), Bundu (84')
Szucs (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pett (19'), Payne (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-0 Plymouth
Sunday, August 11 at 4pm in Championship
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Newport
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Plymouth Argyle 3-2 Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham will feel that Plymouth's new-look side under Rooney are there for the taking and could push them close on Wednesday. However, we feel that the home side will do just enough to edge this contest, perhaps in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
40.06% (-1.129 -1.13) 24.18% (0.142 0.14) 35.75% (0.985 0.98)
Both teams to score 60.62% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (-0.508 -0.51)41.89% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.7% (-0.515 -0.52)64.3% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95% (-0.74299999999999 -0.74)21.04% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15% (-1.169 -1.17)53.84% (1.165 1.17)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (0.301 0.3)23.22% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (0.437 0.44)57.12% (-0.439 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 40.06%
    Cheltenham Town 35.75%
    Draw 24.17%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawCheltenham Town
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.144 0.14)
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.223 0.22)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 35.75%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Cheltenham

Plymouth Argyle
79.7%
Draw
10.8%
Cheltenham Town
9.5%
74
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2024 3pm
Club Friendlies 3
Cheltenham
1-5
Plymouth
Dulson (19')
Cissoko (27'), Whittaker (29'), Tijani (36', 59'), Hardie (66')
Feb 21, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals
Plymouth
1-1
Cheltenham
(Aggregate 1-1 | Plymouth win 3-2 on penalties)
Hardie (63')
May (49')
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Plymouth
4-2
Cheltenham
Scarr (26'), Hardie (28'), Wright (64'), Cosgrove (83')
Perry (40'), May (70')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Plymouth
2-0
Cheltenham
Ennis (14'), Mayor (42')

Colkett (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
3pm
Bears
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!