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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
53.27% ( 0.04) | 24.54% ( -0.02) | 22.19% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.11% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.57% ( 0.05) | 51.43% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.76% ( 0.04) | 73.24% ( -0.05) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( 0.03) | 19.26% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( 0.06) | 50.98% ( -0.06) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.06% ( 0.01) | 37.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.29% ( 0.01) | 74.71% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 53.26% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
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