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Championship header 2

League Two
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Sutton United

Wrexham
2 - 1
Sutton

Mullin (14'), Lee (89')
Tunnicliffe (89'), Mullin (90+4'), McClean (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Brien (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 4-1 Sutton United

 While showing some inconsistent form, Wrexham have been free-scoring at home, something that has remained constant from last season's success. Sutton are really struggling, and it would be a major turn-up if they were to take anything from this one against one of the favourites for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawSutton United
67.68% (0.96000000000001 0.96) 17.68% (-0.264 -0.26) 14.64% (-0.691 -0.69)
Both teams to score 59.1% (-0.833 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.3% (-0.235 -0.23)32.7% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.63% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)54.37% (0.276 0.28)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.12% (0.15599999999999 0.16)8.88% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.62% (0.36999999999999 0.37)30.39% (-0.364 -0.36)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (-1.024 -1.02)35.14% (1.029 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-1.086 -1.09)71.89% (1.091 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 67.68%
    Sutton United 14.64%
    Draw 17.68%
WrexhamDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.046 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.246 0.25)
4-1 @ 4.67% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.47% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.26% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.101 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 67.68%
1-1 @ 7.9% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.68%
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 14.64%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Sutton

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 5.20pm
Gameweek 36
Sutton
0-0
Wrexham
Eastmond (45')
Young (44'), Hall-Johnson (55'), Davies (85')
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
4-0
Sutton
Thomas (27', 78'), Harris (42'), Yussuf (73')
Vassell (70')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sutton
3-1
Wrexham
Bugiel (12', 36', 66' pen.)
Bugiel (19'), Davis (45')
Jennings (90')
Sep 14, 2019 5.20pm
Gameweek 14
Wrexham
1-1
Sutton
Grant (88' pen.)
Young (61')
Beautyman (63')
Butler (88'), Bolarinwa (89'), Ajiboye (92')
Eastmond (86')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 54
Wrexham
1-0
Sutton
Kennedy (78')
Young (71')

Eastmond (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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