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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Barrow |
47.99% | 23.91% | 28.1% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 58.07% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.26% ( -0) | 43.74% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.87% | 66.12% ( -0) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.63% ( -0) | 18.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.5% | 49.49% ( -0) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.14% | 28.85% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.28% ( -0) | 64.72% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Barrow |
2-1 @ 9.46% 1-0 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.49% Total : 47.99% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.47% Total : 28.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |