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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Wrexham |
36.9% ( -0.02) | 26.94% ( -0.01) | 36.16% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.12% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.89% ( 0.03) | 54.11% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.47% ( 0.03) | 75.53% ( -0.02) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( 0) | 28.28% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% ( 0) | 64% ( 0) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.27% ( 0.04) | 28.73% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.44% ( 0.05) | 64.56% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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