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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Crawley Town

Tranmere
1 - 3
Crawley

Norris (21')
Jennings (35')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kelley (2'), Williams (10'), Orsi (79')
Kelley (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-2 Crawley Town

 Tranmere have been brilliant at home for the majority of this season but they have fallen to two defeats at Prenton Park in their last six games, while Crawley have won three of their last four games on the road. The visitors have been victorious in both of the previous two meetings between these sides, scoring at least two in each of these games, and we expect them to repeat this on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCrawley Town
39.02% (0.115 0.12) 24.84% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 36.14% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.26% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (0.122 0.12)44.98% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (0.117 0.12)67.33% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.113 0.11)22.9% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (0.16500000000001 0.17)56.66% (-0.164 -0.16)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (0.011000000000003 0.01)58.85% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.02%
    Crawley Town 36.14%
    Draw 24.84%
Tranmere RoversDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Crawley

Tranmere Rovers
14.3%
Draw
23.8%
Crawley Town
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Crawley
3-2
Tranmere
Darcy (61'), Tsaroulla (68'), Lolas (90+6')
Gladwin (33'), Darcy (56'), Wright (76'), Lolas (90+7'), Khaleel (90+7')
Jolley (21'), Taylor (66')
Walker (45+2'), Jolley (60'), Pike (74'), Yarney (89'), Hendry (90+4')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crawley
2-1
Tranmere
Oteh (30'), Powell (40')
Saunders (8')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Tranmere
1-0
Crawley
Turnbull (68')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crawley
0-1
Tranmere

Craig (72')
Spearing (65')
Spearing (86'), Hemmings (87')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crawley
0-1
Tranmere

Davies (25'), Appiah (69'), Francillette (89')
McManaman (38')
Nevitt (3'), Clarke (89'), Dieseruvwe (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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