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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 64.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
64.87% ( 0.09) | 19.61% ( -0.02) | 15.52% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.84% ( -0.04) | 40.16% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.47% ( -0.05) | 62.53% ( 0.05) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% ( 0.01) | 11.65% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.32% ( 0.02) | 36.68% ( -0.02) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.24% ( -0.11) | 38.76% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.5% ( -0.11) | 75.5% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 3.91% Total : 64.87% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.61% | 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 15.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
2 | Notts County | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 53 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 52 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 50 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 49 |
6 | Port Vale | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 49 |
7 | Salford City | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 48 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Chesterfield | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 42 |
11 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 39 |
13 | Bromley | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 39 |
14 | MK Dons | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 38 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 34 |
19 | Gillingham | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 32 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 30 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 26 |
23 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 23 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 21 |
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