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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Accrington Stanley

Wrexham
4 - 0
Accrington

Mullin (17', 25', 35'), Lee (41')
McClean (75')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Woods (47')
Shipley (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Accrington Stanley

Both teams head into this fixture in rather shaky form, but given Wrexham's impressive record at the Racecourse Ground this season, with no team taking more points at home than Wrexham so far this campaign, we expect them to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawAccrington Stanley
61.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 20.12% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)37.74% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40% (-0.055 -0.05)59.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)11.76% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.06% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)36.93% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)34.26% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)70.95% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 61.8%
    Accrington Stanley 18.07%
    Draw 20.12%
WrexhamDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 61.8%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Accrington

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Accrington
2-0
Wrexham
Leigh (50' pen.), Longelo-Mbule (72')
Adedoyin (28')
Apr 26, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Roberts (90' pen.)
Evans (20')
Pejic (7' og.), Cavanagh (28'), Whalley (72')
Craney (20'), Whalley (72'), Cavanagh (73')
Oct 5, 2007 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Wrexham

Webb (84')
Roberts (37', 66')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Johnson (45')
Crowell (13'), Valentine (36'), Evans (55')
Brown (83', 86'), Mullin (17')
Harris (30')
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Accrington
5-0
Wrexham
Cavanagh (55'), Roberts (52', 67'), Craney (49'), Mullin (41')
Cavanagh (30')

Valentine (81'), Llewellyn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Mansfield TownMansfield442313887454282
4MK Dons442281474611374
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe441913126861770
6BarrowBarrow431814115849968
7Crawley TownCrawley44206186965466
8Walsall441811156665165
9Doncaster RoversDoncaster43197176363064
10Gillingham44189174353-1063
11AFC Wimbledon4416141457471062
12Harrogate TownHarrogate441711165562-762
13Bradford CityBradford431612155255-360
14Notts County44177208885358
15Morecambe44179186376-1357
16Newport CountyNewport44167216171-1055
17Tranmere RoversTranmere44166226364-154
18Accrington StanleyAccrington44159205766-954
19Swindon TownSwindon441411197478-453
20Salford City441211216380-1747
21Grimsby Town441016185572-1746
22Colchester UnitedColchester431111215774-1744
23Sutton UnitedSutton44913225378-2540
24Forest Green RoversForest Green4499264177-3636


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