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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Accrington Stanley

Wrexham
4 - 0
Accrington

Mullin (17', 25', 35'), Lee (41')
McClean (75')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Woods (47')
Shipley (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Accrington
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Accrington Stanley

Both teams head into this fixture in rather shaky form, but given Wrexham's impressive record at the Racecourse Ground this season, with no team taking more points at home than Wrexham so far this campaign, we expect them to emerge victorious. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawAccrington Stanley
61.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 20.12% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)37.74% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40% (-0.055 -0.05)59.99% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)11.76% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.06% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)36.93% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)34.26% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)70.95% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 61.8%
    Accrington Stanley 18.07%
    Draw 20.12%
WrexhamDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 61.8%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.12%
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 18.07%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Accrington

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Accrington
2-0
Wrexham
Leigh (50' pen.), Longelo-Mbule (72')
Adedoyin (28')
Apr 26, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Roberts (90' pen.)
Evans (20')
Pejic (7' og.), Cavanagh (28'), Whalley (72')
Craney (20'), Whalley (72'), Cavanagh (73')
Oct 5, 2007 3pm
Accrington
0-2
Wrexham

Webb (84')
Roberts (37', 66')
Jan 1, 2007 3pm
Wrexham
1-3
Accrington
Johnson (45')
Crowell (13'), Valentine (36'), Evans (55')
Brown (83', 86'), Mullin (17')
Harris (30')
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Accrington
5-0
Wrexham
Cavanagh (55'), Roberts (52', 67'), Craney (49'), Mullin (41')
Cavanagh (30')

Valentine (81'), Llewellyn (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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