Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca4 - 1Atlas
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atlas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Atlas |
62.66% ( 0.04) | 21.16% ( -0.01) | 16.18% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.41% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.16% ( 0.01) | 45.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.85% ( 0.01) | 68.15% ( -0.01) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.97% ( 0.01) | 14.02% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.42% ( 0.03) | 41.57% ( -0.03) |
Atlas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.63% ( -0.03) | 41.37% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.11% ( -0.02) | 77.88% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Toluca 62.65%
Atlas 16.18%
Draw 21.15%
Toluca | Draw | Atlas |
1-0 @ 11.39% 2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 62.65% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.15% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.18% |
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12am
Feb 2, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 1
Atlas
0-0
Toluca
Jul 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Toluca
3-2
Atlas
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 16
Toluca
2-4
Atlas
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-19 06:21:06
ET
Inter Miami
3-2
America
Pens.
(3-2)
1am
Washington
@
Lions
8pm
Rams
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Ravens
@
Bills
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 27 | 42 |
2 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 35 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 34 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 31 |
5 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 29 |
8 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
10 | Atlas | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
11 | Club Leon | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 17 |
13 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 14 |
15 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 14 |
16 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 |
17 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 10 |
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