MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:05:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Clermont Foot
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Lille

Clermont
0 - 2
Lille


Gastien (5'), Seidu (33'), Caufriez (45+2')
Caufriez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gomes (68' pen.), Bayo (90+4')
Andre (31'), Cabella (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Clermont
Saturday, November 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Angers
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Clermont 1-2 Lille

The Clermont backline have often looked a little unhinged when under pressure, and they can expect to face their share of that against an aggressive unit in Lille who have some quality in the attacking third and can make their scoring chances count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawLille
19.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 57.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)47.1% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.77% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.55% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)16.2% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (-0.012 -0.01)45.69% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 19.92%
    Lille 57.24%
    Draw 22.82%
ClermontDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 19.92%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 11.13%
0-2 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-3 @ 6.15% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-4 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 57.24%

How you voted: Clermont vs Lille

Clermont
14.0%
Draw
18.6%
Lille
67.4%
86
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 4.05pm
Lille
4-0
Clermont
Bamba (3'), David (71'), Celik (84'), Zhegrova (90')
Gourvennec (40'), Ben Arfa (50')

Abdul Samed (36'), Seidu (66')
Abdul Samed (68')
Oct 16, 2021 4pm
Clermont
1-0
Lille
N'Simba (32')
Tell (85')

Sanches (32'), Xeka (57'), Andre (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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