Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lille had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.