Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 40%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
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