Manchester City will be looking to make it back-to-back wins in the Premier League when they welcome Everton to the Etihad Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
The Citizens entered the international break off the back of a 2-0 victory at Manchester United, while Everton picked up a point at home to Tottenham Hotspur in their last top-flight contest.
Match preview
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Man City have not had it all their own way in the Premier League this season, already losing two of their 11 matches, including a shock 2-0 home defeat to Crystal Palace at the end of October, but they were excellent in a two-goal victory against Man United in the Manchester derby.
The result moved the Citizens into second position in the table, just three points behind leaders Chelsea, and they have a huge end to November, facing Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League next week before welcoming high-flying West Ham United in the league on November 28.
Man City were surprisingly knocked out of the EFL Cup by West Ham in the round of 16 but are on course to reach the last-16 stage of the Champions League, sitting top of Group A with nine points.
Pep Guardiola's side have actually won their last seven Premier League games against Everton, scoring 21 times in the process, including a 5-0 victory in the corresponding match last season.
Southampton and Palace have both prevented Man City from winning at the Etihad Stadium in the league this term, though, and Everton were impressive on their last visit to Manchester, claiming a point against Man United at the start of October.
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The Toffees made an impressive start to the 2021-22 Premier League season, winning four of their first six matches, suffering just one defeat in the process, with new head coach Rafael Benitez enjoying a fine start.
Everton are without a victory in their last five in the league, though, suffering three defeats in the process, including a shock 5-2 home loss to Watford towards the end of October.
A record of four wins, three draws and four defeats has brought the Merseyside giants 15 points, which has left them in 11th position, just two points behind sixth-placed Man United.
The Toffees have not even managed to claim a point against Man City since August 2017, while they have not beaten the Citizens away from home in the league for almost 11 years.
Benitez will certainly have a tactical plan in mind for this contest, though, and there is no question that the Merseyside club have the players to harm Man City, who struggled against Palace at the Etihad Stadium last time out.
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Team News
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Man City will be without the services of Kevin De Bruyne, who has tested positive for coronavirus, while Jack Grealish is unlikely to feature due to an injury that he picked up while on international duty.
Phil Foden is also a major doubt, having also suffered a knock representing England, meaning that there could be a start in the final third of the field for Raheem Sterling, with Gabriel Jesus going through the middle.
Ferran Torres is also still out with a foot injury, but Aymeric Laporte is available following a suspension, and the Spain international could take the place of John Stones in the starting XI.
As for Everton, Yerry Mina, Andre Gomes, Abdoulaye Doucoure and Dominic Calvert-Lewin will again be unavailable for selection, Benitez confirmed at Friday's press conference.
Tom Davies is also out with a knee injury, while Mason Holgate will serve the first of a three-match suspension following his red card in the goalless draw with Tottenham.
Richarlison, Andros Townsend and Demarai Gray are all expected to keep their spots, but there could be a change in an attacking area, with Alex Iwobi potentially coming in for Anthony Gordon.
Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Walker, Dias, Laporte, Cancelo; Bernardo, Rodri, Gundogan; Mahrez, Jesus, Sterling
Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Godfrey, Keane, Digne; Townsend, Allan, Delph, Iwobi; Gray; Richarlison
We say: Manchester City 2-1 Everton
Man City are set to be without some key players on Sunday, and it is always difficult to know exactly what to expect from matches straight after an international break. We are backing Everton to make this a tricky match for the Citizens but are still confident that the reigning champions will emerge victorious on home soil.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 83.96%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Everton had a probability of 5.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.03%) and 4-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (1.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
