Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 11 at 5pm in Major League Soccer
Sunday, March 12 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
We said: Atlanta United 2-1 Portland Timbers
Atlanta have been poor on home turf of late, but their recent form should give them cause for optimism heading into this weekend's game. We anticipate an open and end-to-end affair with the hosts narrowly coming out on top in the end.How to watch
You can watch Atlanta United vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Portland Timbers |
59.07% ( -2.43) | 21.1% ( 0.73) | 19.83% ( 1.7) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
