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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Toyota Park
New England Revolution

Chicago Fire
1 - 1
New England

Monis (90+2')
Pineda (18'), Mueller (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Borrero (88')
Vrioni (57'), Makoun (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 1 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 New England Revolution

 There was nothing to separate the two sides in the last meeting, and with nothing of note to play for it would be hard to expect a high-scoring game. The teams are most likely to cancel each other out and end the season sharing the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew England Revolution
51.88% (0.575 0.58) 24.09% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.03% (-0.594 -0.59)
Both teams to score 53.67% (-0.706 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-0.627 -0.63)47.78% (0.626 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (-0.578 -0.58)69.97% (0.578 0.58)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)18.4% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)49.55% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.85300000000001 -0.85)34.22% (0.853 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.08% (-0.925 -0.93)70.92% (0.926 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 51.87%
    New England Revolution 24.03%
    Draw 24.09%
Chicago FireDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.223 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.123 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 51.87%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.13% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.03%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 12.30am
New England
0-0
Chicago Fire

Kessler (21')
Oct 17, 2021 12am
New England
2-2
Chicago Fire
Kaptoum (47'), Bou (76')
Buchanan (90+3')
Medran (49'), Aliseda (88')
Navarro (60'), Navarro (90+4')
Sep 23, 2021 1am
Chicago Fire
2-3
New England
Teran (40'), Gimenez (64')
Teran (17'), Medran (34')
Kessler (11'), Bunbury (62'), Gil (90+1')
Caldwell (31'), Gil (90+2')
Apr 18, 2021 1.30am
Chicago Fire
2-2
New England
Beric (5'), Stojanovic (11')
Kappelhof (79')
Buksa (14'), Bou (27')
Jones (90+3')
Sep 7, 2020 12.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
New England
Herbers (22')
Bunbury (3', 54')
Fagundez (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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